Posted by
Rob on Tuesday, June 26, 2007 2:33:39 PM
Want to take a guess at the most conservative department in a typical
US University? Religion? Nope, usually a total nut house. Engineering?
Close, but these guys are only conservative in the amount of time they
devote to even thinking about politics. Hard sciences: Chemistry,
Physics, Biology? Absolutely not, all their support comes from the
public purse via some politician swallowing their Chicken Little
disaster scenarios about rapacious Chinese imports or monster
hurricanes. Give up?
Economics. (or see this Academic
paper.)
My
theory about why Economics is so conservative (at a whopping 25%
Republican!) is that they have to deal with real data about real
people. Liberal Arts is in their own little world somewhere between
1968 and 1972, whereas the sciences are in an ivory tower with a
weather radio that carries only news about Congressional
science budgets.
Which is why they support tax-and-spend politicians. One would imagine
that economists have got a better grip on fiscal responsibility and
perhaps this accounts for their (relatively) strong Republican
percentage.
And maybe that accounts for why so few college
kids seem to take Economics. Or perhaps I am over-generalizing, perhaps
it is only MSM journalists, lawyers and
politicians
who avoid the field. In any case, Thomas Sowell makes the argument
repeatedly that there is a great deal of populist misinformation about
economics. Such as blaming the
gas price spike on
greedy corporate price gouging. Or miraculously eliminating poverty by
raising the minimum wage.
It reflects not only a very poor education, but a tendency to avoid
responsibility and willingness to demonize others. It demonstrates a
distrust for entrepreneurs, and a love for big government solutions. In
other words, the Socialist education of the 20th Modernist Century.
However as this experiment in Socialism failed, the War on Povery, the New Society, the
New Deal (a damning review) all
failed to meet their goals or even 50% of their goals. Many economists
have suggested that the New Deal prolonged the Depression, that the New
Society made crime worse, that the War on Poverty
increased the
number of welfare moms. We would have been better off, they argue, if
we had done nothing at all, sort of like Calvin Coolidge's view of the
stock market crash.
So
now we have a cognitive dissonance. We
have a conflict between those who thought they had an economic
solution, but
found it didn't work. What to do? PoMo to the rescue! PoMo rejects
absolutes, such as real income or inflation adjusted prices, and
focusses on relative quantities, such as the fact that no one thinks
they are rich. You know the old saw, "How much money would it take to
be happy? A little more.", where we replace say, $1M, with a
derivative, "more". PoMo prefers the process, the derivative, the
slope, the difference to the quantity itself. If classical economics is
about money, PoMo economics is about who has more (or less) of it. Most
of Sowell's columns are addressing PoMo economics.
As
compelling as Sowell is, he remains a classical economist, so to
understand PoMo economics, we need a true believer. The ideal spokesman
turns out the be a conflicted soul, someone who has been an
evil capitalist,
but now repents of his ways and is wooing the elite, someone who has
not other-people's-money but his own money to spend, the richest man in
the world, Bill Gates.
Perhaps for tax purposes or perhaps for altruism, he founded the B
ill and Melinda Gates Foundation. First he tried to correct the
educational system,
which he said was plagued with underachievers. So did he offer incentives to study, encouraging parents to get involved,
scholarships? No, he funded more schools, greasing the machine, focussing on the process. Now
he wants to fix the world's economic ills the same way. In his
Harvard commencement
speech this year, this is what he stressed as the most important world
problem.
But taking a serious look back … I do have one big regret.
I left Harvard with no real awareness of the awful inequities in the
world – the appalling disparities of health, and wealth, and
opportunity that condemn millions of people to lives of despair.
I learned a lot here at Harvard about new ideas in economics and
politics. I got great exposure to the advances being made in the
sciences.
But humanity’s greatest advances are not in its discoveries – but in
how those discoveries are applied to reduce inequity. Whether through
democracy, strong public education, quality health care, or broad
economic opportunity – reducing inequity is the highest human
achievement.
Pure PoMo economics.
So
how does he confront the fact that statistically speaking, he is the
largest contributor to the world's inequity today? By blaming the
system that allowed him to become so rich. Pause a moment and let this
irony roll around the tongue. Communists said it was money that was
evil. Socialists said that making money was evil. Bill is saying that
making too much money is evil. All of these groups deny personal
responsibility for evil, though Bill comes closest to admitting guilt And the quickest way for Bill to improve the world statistics? Jesus already
answered that question.
Okay, we'll be more realistic, is Bill advocating microcredit,
more ownership, entrepreneurs, like the garage business he began some
25 years ago? He explains the work of the Foundation.
So we began our work in the same way anyone here would begin it. We asked: “How could the world let these children die?”
The answer is simple, and harsh. The market did not reward saving the
lives of these children, and governments did not subsidize it. So the
children died because their mothers and their fathers had no power in
the market and no voice in the system.
But you and I have both.
We can make market forces work better for the poor if we can develop a
more creative capitalism – if we can stretch the reach of market forces
so that more people can make a profit, or at least make a living,
serving people who are suffering from the worst inequities. We also can
press governments around the world to spend taxpayer money in ways that
better reflect the values of the people who pay the taxes.
If we can find approaches that meet the needs of the poor in ways that
generate profits for business and votes for politicians, we will have
found a sustainable way to reduce inequity in the world. This task is
open-ended. It can never be finished. But a conscious effort to answer
this challenge will change the world.
I am optimistic that we can do this, but I talk to skeptics who claim
there is no hope. They say: “Inequity has been with us since the
beginning, and will be with us till the end – because people just …
don’t … care.” I completely disagree.
Let's
pause again, and consider his PoMo economics. Disparities exist, Bill
says, because the market is Darwinian, even though people aren't. In
contrast, classical economists view people as rational consumers (e.g.
Darwinian), and the market as a maximum cooperative solution (e.g.
non-Darwinian). Bill's solution is to reform the system by limiting
its choices, whereas classical economics would liberate the consumer by
giving him more choices. In Bill's solution, Utopia is both known and
achievable, in classical economics, Utopia is both unknown and
unachievable. (After all, wasn't it Jesus who contradicted Bill when he
said "
the poor you will always have with you.") Finally
look at Bill's definition of sustainability, "meet the needs of the
poor in ways that
generate profits for business and votes for politicians," The feudal
society of medieval Europe managed to be sustainable without either of
these, as do most Muslim countries today. One gets the sense that Bill
is more concerned about sustaining the right sort of process, "profits
and votes" than about sustaining the people.
Bill continues,
The barrier to change is not too little caring; it is too much complexity.
To turn caring into action, we need to see a problem, see a solution,
and see the impact. But complexity blocks all three steps.
The irony here, is that Bill's entire Microsoft empire was built around an operating system that is
too complex to maintain.
But the complexity was entirely of his own making, because he refused
to modularize and allow competition; he wanted to control everything.
Likewise, Bill thinks that if he were President of the UN, he would
have the control to bring about "caring capitalism" but he worries
about complexity. Poverty is only too complex if he thinks he has to
remain in control, like some central planner in a Communist economy.
So
he turns to history to find an example where success was possible
despite complexity, he wants to show that government largesse combined
with compassion can change the course of nations. He points to the
Marshall plan that is credited with the restoration of war-torn Europe.
Sixty years ago, George Marshall came to this commencement and
announced a plan to assist the nations of post-war Europe. He said: “I
think one difficulty is that the problem is one of such enormous
complexity that the very mass of facts presented to the public by press
and radio make it exceedingly difficult for the man in the street to
reach a clear appraisement of the situation. It is virtually impossible
at this distance to grasp at all the real significance of the
situation.
But was the Marshall plan responsible for the success?
John Tammy disagrees.
The lesson to take from Japan and Western Europe’s post-war economic
revival is that tax cuts and stable money, rather than financial aid,
are the certain cures for economic devastation. Simple financial aid,
as evidenced by the limited impact in post-WWII Europe and more
recently in Africa, has yet to prove its effectiveness.
Back to Bill Gates.
While the mogul-turned-philanthropist believes reducing inequity is the highest human achievement, it should be noted that it is thanks to the inequitable
distribution of ability that the “vital few” create life-enhancing
innovations that we all can enjoy and which enable us to prosper.
For
instance, it could be said that Gates’s greatest philanthropic success
was the creation of Microsoft. While aid and charity patch over
short-term difficulties, it is economic growth that feeds us, and which
makes us healthier all the time. Though Gates surely will accomplish
some amazing things with his charitable foundation, it is capitalism
that continues to lift people out of poverty, and it is the profit
motive underlying capitalism that will lead to pharmaceutical
innovations that will solve the myriad health problems that concern him.
Gates
should be lionized for directing his wealth towards the poverty and
disease that vex us. But he might be most effective in his newfound
career if he uses his well-earned influence to lower the governmental
barriers to economic growth, all while offering up as much of his
capital as possible in the form of investment for tomorrow’s
entrepreneurs.
The
reason PoMo economics fails, is the same reason for the hedonist
paradox, when we strive for happiness, we are eternally unhappy,
because we have made the journey into the goal. We have added to the
whims of fate the additional unhappiness of our doomed efforts to
control the universe. It is a death spiral of recursion. Likewise, when
we strive for equity, we enable inequity, because we have made the
journey into the goal, we naturally have to give power to some groups
to control the inequity of others, and those losing power are now even
more unequal than before, and on it goes. The recursion inherent in
this effort causes the complexity that so frustrates Bill. The system
is irredeemable because it is the system that is the problem.
How did his first philanthropic effort succeed, the reformation of failing schools?
Not too well, says Business Week, evidently they've had to close the schools that got Bill's funding.
But
PoMo economics isn't really about success, or numbers, or even
sustainability. It's about me, my guilt and my salvation. Here's
Bill's final charge to the Harvard graduating class,
I hope you will judge yourselves not on your professional
accomplishments alone, but also on how well you have addressed the
world’s deepest inequities … on how well you treated people a world
away who have nothing in common with you but their humanity.
Good Luck.
They'll need it.